Our head of asset allocation strategy Edward Smith concludes this three-part “Oh! Jeremy Corbyn”, taking some final gleanings from Labour’s manifesto on what it might mean for the economy if the Labour leader were to move in to No. 10.
With the influence of politics on the global economy growing, could game theory provide a model for success?
US bond yields continue to rise steadily, while the Bank of England equivocates in the face of high inflation and poor growth. Our chief investment officer, Julian Chillingworth, celebrates strong US earnings, but notes tariffs cast a pall over the future.
UK stocks have underperformed other major developed markets so far in 2018, extending a pattern that has been in place since the June 2016 vote to leave the EU. A longer-term analysis also suggests Brexit isn’t the only thing weighing on UK companies, so why should investors be interested in UK equities now? We think investors are pricing in a fairly negative Brexit scenario, and see UK shares as offering fundamental value and opportunity in differing economic outlooks.
The spectre of higher inflation and rising interest rates sent a shudder through global markets in February. It could still cause some sleepless nights over the rest of the year, but we don’t see anything too alarming on the horizon.
In this first of a series of three blogs on what it might mean for the UK economy and investors if Jeremy Corbyn moved into Number 10, our head of asset allocation research Edward Smith looks back to Francois Mitterrand’s presidency for clues.
Trade threats and tech troubles have made investors nervous, but economies around the world remain healthy and relatively vibrant. Our chief investment officer, Julian Chillingworth, says markets are likely to remain rocky, but that should provide opportunities.
Obliging people’s vanity is a good investment strategy argues multi-asset assistant fund manager Will McIntosh-Whyte. But beware of fickle fashion.
Passing on wealth has never cost the UK so much. Inheritance tax (IHT) receipts are surging and reached a record £4.9 billion last year. With property prices rising and IHT allowances frozen until 2021, that trend is likely to continue.